cup26

NilsBriggen/cup26

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Author	SHA1	Message	Date
NilsBriggen	a3f529746f	Much fresher live data: 8s in-play polling, live-TTL summary fetches The live staleness bug: liveTick refetched ESPN summaries every 20s but the cache TTL was 5 minutes, so in-play stats/timeline barely moved. Summaries now take a live flag (15s TTL in play), the scoreboard TTL drops 20s->5s, and polling gets three tiers (8s in-play / 20s near kickoff / 10m idle) via a pure, tested cadence module. The football-data fallback is throttled to one attempt per 15s so the 8s cadence can never breach its 10 req/min cap. Enrichment runs every 5m (was 20m); client refetch intervals tighten to 10s (live match page) and 30s (scoreboard). Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-06-11 23:18:38 +02:00
NilsBriggen	adbfb5d6d1	v2 Phase 4: live match center + in-play win probability - src/lib/model/inplay.ts: in-play win probability — remaining goals modelled as time-scaled Poisson processes convolved with the current score; recomputed each tick. 4 vitest cases (locks at FT, lead grows decisive over time, sums to 1). - ESPN summary normalizer extended with the live event timeline (keyEvents); preview now carries liveStats + events. Scheduler refreshes LIVE matches' summaries every live tick (~20s) for fresh stats/timeline. - /match/:num is now a live match center: when live it shows in-play win probability (driven by the WS score/clock), match stats bars and an event timeline, polling while live; preview content for scheduled games, recap when finished. Verified with a simulated live state (94% live vs 81% pre-match). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-06-11 16:19:22 +02:00
NilsBriggen	7f4838d032	v2 Phase 2: match previews + team profiles - buildPreviewData.ts: precomputes from 150y of results → h2h.json (825 WC-team pairings, full records + recent meetings) + scorers.json (top-10 all-time scorers per team). Committed goalscorers.csv. - server/src/preview.ts: assembles MatchPreview / TeamProfile from three layers — historical (h2h, scorers), DB enrichment (ESPN form/lineups/venue), live model (W/D/L, xG, odds, Elo). /api/preview/:num + /api/team/:name. - Client: rich /match/:num page (model expectation, recent form chips, H2H record + recent meetings, lineups-or-key-players) and /team/:name profile (Elo, odds, standing, fixtures, all-time scorers). Match cards now link to previews; cross-linking between matches and teams. - Verified: Mexico-SA preview (81% W, 2-0, form, H2H 2-1-1, Borgetti 37) and Argentina profile (Messi 63) render; 22 tests pass; build clean. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-06-11 15:34:54 +02:00

Author

SHA1

Message

Date

NilsBriggen

a3f529746f

Much fresher live data: 8s in-play polling, live-TTL summary fetches

The live staleness bug: liveTick refetched ESPN summaries every 20s but
the cache TTL was 5 minutes, so in-play stats/timeline barely moved.
Summaries now take a live flag (15s TTL in play), the scoreboard TTL
drops 20s->5s, and polling gets three tiers (8s in-play / 20s near
kickoff / 10m idle) via a pure, tested cadence module. The
football-data fallback is throttled to one attempt per 15s so the 8s
cadence can never breach its 10 req/min cap. Enrichment runs every 5m
(was 20m); client refetch intervals tighten to 10s (live match page)
and 30s (scoreboard).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

2026-06-11 23:18:38 +02:00

NilsBriggen

adbfb5d6d1

v2 Phase 4: live match center + in-play win probability

- src/lib/model/inplay.ts: in-play win probability — remaining goals modelled as
  time-scaled Poisson processes convolved with the current score; recomputed each
  tick. 4 vitest cases (locks at FT, lead grows decisive over time, sums to 1).
- ESPN summary normalizer extended with the live event timeline (keyEvents);
  preview now carries liveStats + events. Scheduler refreshes LIVE matches'
  summaries every live tick (~20s) for fresh stats/timeline.
- /match/:num is now a live match center: when live it shows in-play win
  probability (driven by the WS score/clock), match stats bars and an event
  timeline, polling while live; preview content for scheduled games, recap when
  finished. Verified with a simulated live state (94% live vs 81% pre-match).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>

2026-06-11 16:19:22 +02:00

NilsBriggen

7f4838d032

v2 Phase 2: match previews + team profiles

- buildPreviewData.ts: precomputes from 150y of results → h2h.json (825 WC-team
  pairings, full records + recent meetings) + scorers.json (top-10 all-time
  scorers per team). Committed goalscorers.csv.
- server/src/preview.ts: assembles MatchPreview / TeamProfile from three layers —
  historical (h2h, scorers), DB enrichment (ESPN form/lineups/venue), live model
  (W/D/L, xG, odds, Elo). /api/preview/:num + /api/team/:name.
- Client: rich /match/:num page (model expectation, recent form chips, H2H record
  + recent meetings, lineups-or-key-players) and /team/:name profile (Elo, odds,
  standing, fixtures, all-time scorers). Match cards now link to previews;
  cross-linking between matches and teams.
- Verified: Mexico-SA preview (81% W, 2-0, form, H2H 2-1-1, Borgetti 37) and
  Argentina profile (Messi 63) render; 22 tests pass; build clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>

2026-06-11 15:34:54 +02:00

3 Commits