NilsBriggen
7f4838d032
v2 Phase 2: match previews + team profiles
...
- buildPreviewData.ts: precomputes from 150y of results → h2h.json (825 WC-team
pairings, full records + recent meetings) + scorers.json (top-10 all-time
scorers per team). Committed goalscorers.csv.
- server/src/preview.ts: assembles MatchPreview / TeamProfile from three layers —
historical (h2h, scorers), DB enrichment (ESPN form/lineups/venue), live model
(W/D/L, xG, odds, Elo). /api/preview/:num + /api/team/:name.
- Client: rich /match/:num page (model expectation, recent form chips, H2H record
+ recent meetings, lineups-or-key-players) and /team/:name profile (Elo, odds,
standing, fixtures, all-time scorers). Match cards now link to previews;
cross-linking between matches and teams.
- Verified: Mexico-SA preview (81% W, 2-0, form, H2H 2-1-1, Borgetti 37) and
Argentina profile (Messi 63) render; 22 tests pass; build clean.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-06-11 15:34:54 +02:00
NilsBriggen
b6f62679c9
v2 Phase 1: ingestion + SQLite foundation
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- Persistence via Node's built-in node:sqlite (zero native deps) on a Docker
volume: response cache, source health, fixture↔provider id map, per-fixture
enrichment, ingest log. Runtime bumped to node:24-slim + --experimental-sqlite.
- Resilient fetcher: DB cache + per-source rate-limit + jittered backoff +
circuit-breaker (blocked sources trip + skip; UI reads DB, never breaks).
- ESPN hidden API as the PRIMARY rich source (works from the VPS where SofaScore
403s): scoreboard (live scores w/ clock) + summary (venue, H2H, recent form,
lineups, team stats). football-data / SofaScore are fallbacks.
- Scheduler: maps all 72 group fixtures to ESPN event ids, polls live on a
dynamic cadence, enriches imminent fixtures into match_ext. /api/sources/health.
- Verified: DB populates (real H2H + form for opening matches), 22 tests pass,
Docker image runs node:sqlite on the volume and persists across restart.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-06-11 15:21:01 +02:00
NilsBriggen
d604bb14ff
Phase 2: predictive model — Elo + Dixon-Coles + Monte Carlo
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- buildRatings.ts: walks 49k historical results → World-Football-Elo per team,
data-calibrated goals model (goals-per-Elo slope, mean goals) + MLE-fit
Dixon-Coles rho. Top: Spain/Argentina/France (the real 2026 favourites)
- src/lib/model: elo, poisson/dixon-coles, predict, host-advantage, monteCarlo
(full 48-team sim — group sampling, best-third bipartite allocation, knockout
advance probs). 20 vitest cases incl. exact per-round count invariants
- Server ModelEngine: live Elo re-rating after each result, per-match W/D/L,
20k-sim odds, odds-over-time history; broadcast on finished-result changes
- Client: championship board, heat-shaded odds table, lazy-loaded title-race
chart (Recharts split to its own chunk), match-prediction bars, bracket
advance overlay
- Verified: odds render, chart populates as injected results re-rate teams live
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-06-11 13:25:53 +02:00
NilsBriggen
9a31e9f4db
Phase 1: live dashboard — fixtures, scores, group tables, bracket
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- Shared domain model (types, team metadata/flags/aliases, FIFA-tiebreak standings)
- buildFixtures.ts: openfootball 2026 → normalized fixtures.json (104 matches,
ISO-UTC kickoffs, pretty knockout placeholders)
- Fastify live layer: seed load, football-data.org poller + SofaScore enhancement
(feature-flagged, fallback), dynamic live-window polling, WS snapshot push,
REST /api/snapshot, dev /api/dev/score injection
- Client: tournament store (REST + WS + static-file fallback), MatchCard,
TeamLabel, GroupTable, Live/Groups/Bracket pages, live connection indicator
- Verified: WS pushes a dev-injected result; standings recompute live in-browser
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-06-11 13:04:31 +02:00
NilsBriggen
4e4e75a1d8
Phase 0: scaffold cup26 — Vite+React+Fastify TS PWA, broadcast theme, app shell
...
Mirrors the TTRPG stack (strict TS, Tailwind 4, vite-plugin-pwa, esbuild server
bundle, multi-stage Dockerfile, Traefik compose). Floodlit-pitch design tokens,
UI primitives (Button/Card/Badge), TanStack Router shell with Live/Groups/
Bracket/Predict/Story routes (placeholders), dependency-free PWA icon generator.
Raw data staged: openfootball 2026 fixtures + martj42 international results CSV.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com >
2026-06-11 12:49:13 +02:00
NilsBriggen